As I’ve mentioned in previous posts, some housing markets like Naples, Florida; Medford, Oregon; and Atlantic City, New Jersey are currently overvalued and poised for a correction. Of all the overvalued markets nationwide, California and Florida have had the largest number of local markets with soaring prices resulting in overvalued properties. However, many other states have also experienced large increases and overvaluation.
Even in states where home sales may have been flat or undervalued in 2001, prices have soared. For example, in Wilmington, North Carolina prices have gone from the $120s to over $200,000. Portland, Maine had an average price of $143,500 in 2001, and at the end of 2005, it was $217,000.
There are markets that have remained flat like those found in Ohio. In Texas, some markets are even undervalued. There are also undervalued markets found in the Midwest, including markets in Michigan and Minnesota. However, these undervalued markets are not to the extreme like the overvalued markets.
According to CNNMoney.com, “Naples went from 72 percent to 76 percent overvalued” by the end of 2005. The lowest undervalued market in this article is El Paso, Texas, which is undervalued at 25%. Thus, the markets that are undervalued are undervalued by a slight percentage as compared to the extreme percentages seen in the overvalued markets.
What does all this data tell us? That most of the country has experienced rapidly increasing prices during the past five years. So what can we expect next?
In the overvalued markets, we can expect a real estate slowdown of sales combined with reduced prices. In markets that are flat, the prices may remain steady, but a slowdown in sales will still occur. In the undervalued markets, the prices may level off and even increase slightly in some markets, but the slowdown of sales experienced in the other markets will also occur.
Regardless of the market you are in, get ready to start looking for bargains. The overvalued properties will fall back in line with value-prices and many will reach that bargain price level. The flat and undervalued markets may already be bargain priced and ready for the foreclosure fallout. Increasing foreclosures in all these markets will produce an abundant supply of bargains for the educated investor to find.